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Trump Slams Chicago as ‘Hellhole’ — FBI Crime Data Says Otherwise

For decades, Chicago has been used as a political talking point, often portrayed as a city spiraling out of control. Critics have described it with harsh language, sometimes overlooking the city’s actual crime data. Former President Donald Trump revived this narrative, calling Chicago a “hellhole” and the “murder capital of the world” during a press conference.

But according to FBI and Chicago Police Department statistics, those claims don’t stand up to scrutiny. Chicago’s crime rate has been falling steadily in recent years, and its homicide numbers are lower than many other U.S. cities.

📌 Story Highlights

  • Trump labeled Chicago a “hellhole” and “murder capital of the world.”

  • Federal crime data shows 22 cities have higher homicide rates than Chicago.

  • Chicago homicide rate in 2024: 17 per 100,000 people.

  • Birmingham, Alabama recorded the nation’s highest rate: 58 per 100,000.

  • Chicago murders dropped 31% in 2025, lowest midyear figure since 2014.

  • Experts stress investment in community-based programs over troop deployment.

Trump’s Statement and the Reality Behind It

Standing in the Oval Office, Trump painted a grim picture of Chicago.

“Chicago is a hellhole right now,” he said, insisting the city had become the “murder capital of the world.”

The words echoed widely, but experts and law enforcement agencies pointed out that they were not accurate. FBI data shows Chicago is not even in the top 20 when it comes to homicide rates.

“There are just a lot of cities that have higher homicide rates, and do most years,” explained John Roman, a senior fellow at the University of Chicago’s NORC research group.

Comparing Chicago to Other U.S. Cities

Chicago, home to about 2.64 million people, recorded 17 homicides per 100,000 residents in 2024.

Meanwhile, Birmingham, Alabama, with a population under 200,000, reported 58 per 100,000 — more than three times Chicago’s rate. St. Louis and Memphis also posted far higher numbers. In total, 22 cities surpassed Chicago’s homicide rate, underscoring the gap between perception and reality.

A Decline in Violence

Despite Trump’s claims, data reveals a sharp downward trend in Chicago crime.

From January through August 2025, the city logged 278 murders, down 31% compared to the same stretch in 2024. Police officials noted this was the lowest midyear figure since 2014.

Even more striking, the summer of 2025 recorded the fewest homicides since 1965, according to reporting by WBEZ.

“It’s been such an encouraging year, not just in Chicago but across the country,” Roman said. “Homicides are down more than 30 percent in Chicago. Nationally, the number is closer to 20 percent. Chicago is doing about 50 percent better than the national average.”

What’s Driving Violence — And What Isn’t

Experts emphasize that today’s violence does not follow the same patterns seen in past decades.

“For those who understand how violence plays out, we know that most incidents — particularly gun-related — are spontaneous,” said Lance Williams, professor at Northeastern Illinois University.

“Although individuals may be gang affiliated, violence doesn’t play out along gang lines like it did 30 years ago. It’s more interpersonal conflict,” he added.

Williams noted that someone at risk of being shot is more likely to be attacked by a member of their own circle than by a rival gang.

“That violence is more interpersonal, and there’s nothing federal troops or law enforcement can really do to get in front of that,” he said. “It has to be addressed by people who are part of the community, who know the culture, who speak the language. And even they find it difficult.”

Why More Police or Troops Aren’t the Answer

While Chicago officials continue to fight crime, data shows that simply increasing armed patrols or deploying the National Guard would not create long-term solutions.

“That’s likely to cut crime in the short term. But it’s not sustainable,” Roman said. “It’s very expensive, and the real solutions come from outside the criminal justice system.”

Programs that strengthen the social safety net, provide jobs, and support young people have shown better long-term results in reducing violence.

The Role of Community Programs

One promising initiative has been CARE (Crisis Assistance Response and Engagement), a city program designed to handle 911 calls related to mental health crises. It aims to provide specialized support where traditional police responses may fall short.

But CARE operates only during limited hours in seven districts, and its funding comes from federal COVID-19 relief dollars set to expire at the end of 2025.

Roman cautioned that without renewed investment, progress could stall. “A lot of the recent decline in violence came from federal funding put in place after the pandemic. That money gave state and local governments the ability to invest in real solutions.”

Williams agreed. “My big concern is that if federal troops are deployed, we’ll have another problem on our hands. It could escalate tensions,” he said. “It’s not just a bad idea; it’s a waste of money.”

A City Misunderstood

Chicago continues to struggle with crime in certain neighborhoods, but overall, the numbers show steady improvement.

The narrative of Chicago as a “hellhole” may resonate politically, but the reality is more complex: crime is falling, community programs are helping, and experts argue that investment in long-term solutions — not military deployment — is what will truly move the city forward.

Chicago continues to face challenges with crime, particularly in certain neighborhoods, but federal and local data show a clear decline in homicides and violent offenses. While political rhetoric often labels the city a “hellhole,” the numbers tell a different story: Chicago’s homicide rate is lower than many other U.S. cities, and long-term progress is being made. Experts agree that investing in community-led programs, mental health services, and social safety nets will do more to sustain this decline than deploying federal troops. The future of Chicago’s safety, they argue, depends less on military presence and more on continued support for evidence-based, community-driven solutions.

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Trouble Behind the Badge: Chicago Cop’s Short Career Marked by Scandal and Tragedy

A young Chicago police officer’s long trail of misconduct complaints has now collided with a deadly mistake—an accidental shooting that left his own partner, Officer Krystal Rivera, fatally wounded. Once hailed for his bold social media presence and rapid rise, Officer Carlos A. Baker’s record reveals a series of missteps, suspensions, and internal probes. The tragic “friendly fire” incident, now under intense review, has reopened serious questions about how the Chicago Police Department manages discipline, assignments, and tactical units within its most sensitive ranks. A storm brews beneath the badge.

STORY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Officer Carlos A. Baker joined the force in December 2021; he had more than a dozen misconduct complaints

  • His disciplinary record includes three suspensions, two reprimands, and five current investigations

  • He was involved in the accidental shooting death of his partner, Officer Krystal Rivera, during a tactical operation

  • Rivera was the first CPD officer in nearly 40 years to die from friendly fire

  • Baker had prior allegations including flashing a gun at a woman and wrongfully detaining a man

  • The incident raises concerns about CPD tactical teams and oversight practices

  • The same tactical team was previously involved in a mishandled gun buyback operation that led to a stolen Glock later used in shootings

A young Chicago police officer is now at the center of a tragedy that has reignited concerns about police oversight, internal accountability, and department decision-making. Officer Carlos A. Baker, whose disciplinary record already raised eyebrows, accidentally shot and killed his partner, Officer Krystal Rivera, during a chaotic encounter with armed suspects earlier this month. The fatal incident has drawn renewed focus not only on Baker’s history but also on the Chicago Police Department’s tactical operations and internal culture.

A Tragic Turn Amidst a Pattern of Complaints

Officer Baker’s career with the Chicago Police Department began in December 2021, but it was quickly marred by multiple disciplinary incidents. From the beginning, his record diverged significantly from the norm. Within just a few months of joining the force, Baker had already amassed a string of misconduct complaints—more than a dozen in total—placing him among a very small percentage of officers with such high complaint volumes. Data compiled by the Invisible Institute shows that only about 5% of Chicago police officers collected six or more misconduct complaints between 2018 and 2023.

What’s more concerning is that many of Baker’s issues emerged during his probationary period—a time when officers can be dismissed relatively easily due to their limited union protections. Yet, despite facing at least five complaints during that phase alone, Baker not only remained on the force but was later assigned to the Gresham District’s tactical team, a specialized unit tasked with aggressively targeting drugs, guns, and high-crime activity.

The Night That Changed Everything

On the night of June 5, Baker and Officer Rivera—partners on the tactical team—were patrolling the South Side when they spotted a man carrying a firearm in the 8200 block of South Drexel Avenue. The officers pursued the individual into a nearby apartment complex. There, chaos unfolded.

According to prosecutors, a second man inside the apartment aimed an AR-style pistol at Officer Baker. In the seconds that followed, Baker’s weapon discharged, striking Officer Rivera in the back. Authorities have described the shooting as inadvertent—an accident in a high-pressure moment. Rivera succumbed to her injuries, marking the first time in nearly four decades that a Chicago police officer was killed by friendly fire.

Two suspects were later charged in connection to the confrontation, while Baker was placed on standard administrative duty as per department policy, which requires at least 30 days of non-field work following a police-involved shooting.

Past Misconduct and Missed Red Flags

Though the June shooting may have been unintended, the circumstances surrounding Baker’s continued deployment in a tactical unit have prompted serious questions. Department records, though restricted due to an ongoing Civilian Office of Police Accountability (COPA) investigation and a court order, indicate that Baker had already faced three suspensions and two formal reprimands prior to the shooting.

One early incident occurred on his very first shift on street patrol when he reportedly failed to arrest a home invasion suspect. Another serious accusation came from a woman who told COPA that Baker—while off duty—showed up at a bar uninvited and flashed a gun at her after discovering she was with another man. Though she initially contacted 911, she later ceased cooperation and withheld alleged video evidence, resulting in no formal discipline for Baker.

Other documented issues include a wrongful vehicle stop that led to a five-day suspension. In that case, Baker and another officer handcuffed and searched a man based on incorrect information that the vehicle was stolen. After releasing the man without charges, the officers failed to file the required paperwork. COPA acknowledged they acted in “good faith” but ruled that their follow-up conduct was improper.

An Officer’s Social Media Persona

Baker’s presence extended beyond the streets. While still on probation, he garnered viral attention on TikTok, dancing in uniform at the Sueños Music Festival and participating in online trends using police radios. Some videos even showed him sitting inside a police vehicle. Though these videos brought him popularity online, they also raised questions about professionalism, focus, and conduct during duty hours.

Before his police career, Baker played football at Southern Utah University. Yet his time on the force has largely been overshadowed by controversies rather than commendations. His social media fame, coupled with a series of questionable judgment calls, paints a complex picture of a young officer both celebrated and scrutinized.

Previous Failures Within the Same Tactical Unit

The deadly shooting is the second troubling episode involving the Gresham District tactical team in recent months. In December 2023, the unit oversaw a gun buyback program at St. Sabina Church that took an unexpected turn. A .45-caliber Glock 21 turned in at the event later went missing from a room inside the tactical team’s office—while officers were still inventorying weapons.

The weapon didn’t just disappear. A year later, police recovered it from a 16-year-old boy after it had been linked to multiple shootings. Officer Rivera had been a key witness in that internal investigation. Records confirm she had no role in the weapon’s disappearance and actively searched colleagues’ belongings in an effort to locate it. Following questions from the Chicago Sun-Times and the Illinois Answers Project, CPD reopened the probe into the Glock’s theft.

Grief, Accountability, and the Road Ahead

At the moment, Baker is facing five new internal disciplinary investigations, including allegations of insubordination and failure to conduct proper searches. His attorney, Tim Grace, has emphasized the dangers of police work and referred to the shooting as “a tragic accident.” He insisted that focus should remain on the loss of Officer Rivera, calling her “a great police officer and equally great person.”

Still, the questions persist. How does an officer with so many early complaints ascend to a high-pressure tactical team? What oversight mechanisms failed? Could Officer Rivera’s death have been prevented if earlier red flags were heeded?

While investigations remain ongoing, this incident underscores the urgent need for reviewing internal staffing, supervision, and disciplinary follow-through—particularly when lives are on the line.

As Chicago mourns one of its own, the city also faces uncomfortable truths about how its officers are trained, monitored, and held accountable. The tragedy of June 5 will not be forgotten—but what comes next may define the path forward for one of America’s most scrutinized police departments.

The accidental killing of Officer Krystal Rivera by her partner, Officer Carlos A. Baker, has pulled back the curtain on deep-rooted flaws within the Chicago Police Department’s oversight and deployment system. With a trail of prior complaints and disciplinary actions, Baker’s case now stands as a stark example of what happens when warning signs go unaddressed. As investigations continue, the tragedy serves not only as a personal loss but also as a piercing reminder of the urgent need for stronger accountability, stricter supervision, and greater transparency in policing practices.

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