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Wall Street Pulls Back as Inflation Tops Fed Target; Nasdaq Leads Slide

U.S. stocks pulled back from record highs on Friday after fresh economic data signaled that inflation remains stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. The update left investors digesting the implications for interest rates ahead of the central bank’s September meeting.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) closed down roughly 0.5%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) lost 0.8%. Leading the retreat, the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) slipped over 1%, weighed down by a sell-off in major technology names.

Big Tech bore the brunt of Friday’s decline. Nvidia (NVDA) shares dropped more than 3%, coming just days after the chipmaker unveiled its much-anticipated earnings report.

STORY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Dow Jones dropped 0.5%, S&P 500 fell 0.8%, Nasdaq tumbled over 1%.

  • Nvidia stock sank 3% despite strong earnings earlier this week.

  • Core PCE inflation rose 0.3% monthly and 2.9% annually, above Fed’s 2% target.

  • Consumer confidence slid to a three-month low, inflation expectations jumped.

  • Traders still price in 87% chance of Fed rate cut in September.

  • Nasdaq eyes five-month winning streak despite Friday’s losses.

  • Markets closed Monday for Labor Day holiday.

Inflation Data Signals Persistent Pressure

The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, a key metric the Federal Reserve closely monitors, rose 0.3% on a monthly basis and 2.9% annually in July. Both figures were in line with analyst expectations but still well above the Fed’s 2% inflation target.

“The annual increase marks the largest since February,” said an analyst at a leading Wall Street firm. “It reinforces the idea that inflation is sticky, even if it’s not accelerating at a rapid pace.”

Adding to concerns, a University of Michigan survey showed that consumer sentiment dropped to a three-month low, with respondents expecting inflation to pick up over the next year.

Traders Keep Bets on Rate Cuts Despite Hot Data

Despite the hotter-than-desired inflation reading, Wall Street hasn’t shifted dramatically in its expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next move. Market data on Friday indicated that traders still assign an 87% probability to a quarter-point rate cut at the September meeting.

“This PCE report was widely anticipated, and the numbers came in exactly as expected,” noted one market strategist. “For now, the market narrative remains focused on an easing cycle, not a reversal.”

Tech Sector Drags Nasdaq Lower

Technology stocks, which have been leading the market higher in recent months, saw sharp declines Friday. Nvidia (NVDA), a key driver of this year’s tech rally, dropped more than 3%, erasing some of the gains it made after its blockbuster earnings release earlier in the week.

“The profit-taking in Big Tech isn’t surprising after such a strong run,” an equity analyst explained. “Nvidia has been at the center of the AI trade, so even a slight shift in sentiment can lead to big moves.”

Indexes Still on Track for Longest Winning Streak in Months

Despite Friday’s setback, the broader picture for U.S. markets remains upbeat. The Nasdaq Composite is still up about 2% in August, on course for its fifth consecutive monthly gain, the longest winning streak in nearly 18 months.

Similarly, the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are both headed for their fourth straight month of gains, rising about 1.6% and 2%, respectively — the longest streak since September 2024.

Meanwhile, the Russell 2000 (^RUT), which tracks smaller companies, is set to jump 6% this month, marking its best four-month performance in over four years.

Political Drama Adds to Busy Week

This week wasn’t just about inflation data and earnings. Markets were also watching political headlines after President Trump intensified efforts to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook. On Friday, a judge was expected to rule on Cook’s request for a temporary restraining order, adding another layer of uncertainty to an already eventful week for investors.

Markets will remain closed on Monday for the Labor Day holiday, reopening Tuesday for what could be another critical week for Wall Street.

Friday’s market pullback highlighted the delicate balance between investor optimism and economic reality. While inflation remains above the Federal Reserve’s target, traders are still betting on a rate cut in September, signaling confidence that policy easing is on the horizon. Despite the day’s losses, the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow Jones remain on track for multi-month winning streaks, underscoring the resilience of U.S. equities. With markets closed for Labor Day, investors will look to next week for fresh cues on whether the Fed will prioritize inflation control or growth momentum in the months ahead.

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Stock Market Shaken by Weak Jobs Data and Trump’s Tariff Shock

Stocks witnessed a dramatic tumble as August began, with Wall Street shaken by weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data and a sudden rise in tariff rates announced by President Donald Trump. The stock market fell sharply, signaling renewed fears of a slowing economy. The Dow plunged over 500 points, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 followed suit. Fresh tariffs on Canadian and transshipped goods, paired with poor payroll growth, cast a dark shadow over investor sentiment. Hopes of a Federal Reserve rate cut now appear too late to rescue the sinking confidence.

📰 STORY HIGHLIGHTS READ BOX:

  • Dow plunges 502 points; Nasdaq down 2.1% as economic jitters mount

  • July jobs rise only 73,000 vs. 100,000 forecast; prior months revised sharply down

  • Big banks slide: JPMorgan, BofA, Wells Fargo each fall over 3%

  • Fed rate cut odds surge to 66% as market bets on urgent policy response

  • Trump ramps up tariffs: Canadian imports now face 35% levy

  • Amazon falls 7% on weak forecast; Apple bucks trend with 2% jump

  • 25 S&P 500 stocks hit 52-week lows, many to early-pandemic levels

  • Only 7 reach new highs, including Northrop Grumman and CBOE

U.S. markets began the new month on shaky ground, as investors confronted a potent mix of disappointing employment data and intensified tariff pressures. The fragile optimism that had propped up equities in recent weeks gave way to widespread selloffs, rattling sectors from banking to tech.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled by 502 points, or 1.4%, as investors digested mounting evidence of an economic slowdown. The broader S&P 500 fell 1.6%, while the Nasdaq Composite suffered the steepest loss, dipping 2.1%, weighed down by dismal corporate guidance and a sudden shift in market sentiment.

At the heart of the downturn was July’s jobs report—a data point often viewed as a litmus test for the broader economy. Instead of the anticipated 100,000 gain in nonfarm payrolls, the economy managed to add only 73,000 jobs last month, according to the Labor Department. Worse yet, revisions to prior months painted an even grimmer picture: June’s figures were slashed to a mere 14,000 from 147,000, and May’s count was revised downward to just 19,000 from the previously reported 125,000.

This disheartening trend suggested not just a one-off miss, but a more entrenched softening in labor market momentum.

The market’s reaction was swift. Banking stocks, traditionally seen as bellwethers for economic health, took a heavy blow. JPMorgan Chase retreated by roughly 4%, while Bank of America and Wells Fargo both shed more than 3%. Investors grew wary of how a slower economy might crimp loan demand and squeeze financial margins.

Industrial giants weren’t spared either. Shares of GE Aerospace and Caterpillar slipped 3%, reflecting fears that demand for machinery and transport services may falter amid growing economic headwinds.

“The numbers gave the Fed the ammunition it needs now to cut in September,” said Jay Woods, Chief Global Strategist at Freedom Capital Markets.
“But unfortunately, now it looks too little too late.”

That sentiment echoed across trading floors. Just days ago, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell had hinted at a more cautious approach, suggesting the central bank wanted to assess the impact of tariffs on inflation before making a move. But with labor figures faltering, market expectations pivoted quickly. Traders now place a 66% chance on a rate cut as early as September, according to CME Fed futures data—up sharply from midweek levels.

As if the labor news wasn’t enough, global trade tensions escalated after President Donald Trump moved forward with a round of modified tariffs. The White House announced overnight hikes ranging from 10% to 41%, including a new 40% penalty on goods transshipped in efforts to sidestep duties. In a particularly aggressive turn, Canadian imports—already facing a 25% tariff—will now be hit with a 35% levy.

Markets reeled at the breadth of the new duties, particularly given Canada’s status as a key U.S. trading partner.

Jeffrey Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, said the jobs report added a worrying dimension to already heightened trade anxieties.
“While investors have been viewing the start of the Fed’s cutting cycle as a positive for risk assets, today’s release is best characterized as ‘bad news is bad news.’”
“With job creation now hovering at stall speed, and a tariff wall looming ahead, there’s real concern that we could soon see negative payroll prints,” he warned.
“That may bring recession fears roaring back.”

Tech stocks—typically the engines of market optimism—also faltered. Amazon tumbled more than 7% after forecasting weaker-than-expected operating income for the current quarter, casting a shadow over the sector. However, Apple provided a rare bright spot, rising 2% after topping Wall Street’s earnings and revenue expectations.

The overall market mood remained tepid, despite upbeat results from companies like Microsoft and Meta Platforms earlier in the week. Thursday had already marked the S&P 500’s third straight daily decline. Early-session intraday highs evaporated as the tech rally lost momentum, leaving little resistance against Friday’s broader pullback.

In total, 25 S&P 500 companies touched new 52-week lows—a stark signal of declining investor confidence. Among them:

  • Charter Communications (lowest since May 2024)

  • Chipotle Mexican Grill (since Nov. 2023)

  • Lululemon, UnitedHealth, and UPS (each hitting levels unseen since early pandemic months)

  • Accenture, Dow Inc, CarMax, and Tyson Foods also marked fresh lows

On the upside, only seven S&P 500 stocks reached new highs.
These included:

  • Altria, trading at its best level since 2018

  • Northrop Grumman, hitting an all-time peak

  • CBOE Holdings, ResMed, American Electric Power, Evergy, and Xcel Energy, all reaching multi-year or record levels

Looking ahead, all eyes turn to how the Fed navigates mounting economic and geopolitical risks. As the delicate balance between policy and data becomes more urgent, investors are bracing for a volatile ride in the weeks to come.

As investors absorb the jolt of frail job growth and aggressive tariff revisions, the stock market stands at a critical crossroads. The sharp decline across major indexes reflects growing unease about the strength of the U.S. economy. While hopes for a timely Federal Reserve rate cut remain alive, they may no longer be enough to soothe market nerves. With trade tensions deepening and employment gains fading, Wall Street braces for turbulent days ahead—where every move, policy, or print could tip the fragile balance of investor confidence.

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