Tag Archives: Canada-US relations

Canadian Tourism

Canadian Tourism to U.S. Plunges as Political Tensions Rise

Canadian Tourism to the United States has taken a steep dive in 2025, marking the sixth straight month of year-over-year declines. Official data shows a 33.1% drop in Canadians returning by car in June and a 22.1% fall in air travel. The downturn follows political tensions, including President Donald Trump’s “51st state” remark and former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s call to vacation within Canada. With Canadian visitors generating over $20 billion for the U.S. economy in 2024, states from Florida to Montana are now bracing for significant tourism and spending losses.

STORY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Canadian automobile returns from U.S. down 33.1% in June 2025

  • Air travel returns down 22.1% year-over-year

  • Sixth straight month of automobile travel decline

  • Trudeau urged Canadians to vacation domestically in February

  • Advance bookings for Canada–U.S. flights (Apr–Sep) down 70%

  • 2024 saw 20.4 million Canadian visitors spend $20.5B in the U.S.

  • Popular states at risk: Florida, California, Nevada, New York, Texas

A growing travel rift between Canada and the United States is taking shape, as new data shows a significant drop in the number of Canadians crossing the border for vacations and leisure. The downturn, now stretching into its sixth consecutive month, is being felt from major tourist states to small border towns.

The drop comes on the heels of an unusually turbulent political period. Earlier this year, former Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau publicly encouraged citizens to rethink their vacation plans. Speaking in February, he urged:

“Choose Canada. Change your summer vacation plans to stay here in Canada and explore the many national and provincial parks, historical sites, and tourist destinations our great country has to offer.”

The call came after U.S. President Donald Trump’s campaign remarks about making Canada the “51st state,” comments that stirred political tensions across the border.

The effects were visible almost immediately in travel industry data. By April, aviation analytics firm OAG recorded a 70% drop in advance flight bookings from Canada to the U.S. for the April–September period compared with last year.

According to the U.S. Travel Association, Canadian visitors are the largest single group of international travelers to the United States. In 2024, 20.4 million Canadians visited, spending $20.5 billion. Even a 10% reduction in visits could translate into a $2.1 billion loss for the American economy.

Certain states are more exposed than others. Florida, California, Nevada, New York, and Texas traditionally see the highest Canadian tourist traffic. Yet smaller border states are feeling the pinch as well. In New Hampshire, which shares an eastern border with Canada, business and tourism officials have noticed a dramatic change.

“Absolutely, the Canadian numbers are lower this year, for sure,”
said Taylor Caswell, New Hampshire’s commissioner for business and economic affairs.
“They’re running at about 30 percent underneath what we’ve seen in prior years.”

The trend extends westward. In Montana, credit card data shows the same pattern.

“Spending by Canadians in Kalispell has decreased by an average of about 37 percent per month from January to April,”
said Diane Medler, executive director of Discover Kalispell.

In nearby Whitefish, the impact is smaller but still significant.

“Canadian credit card spending has dropped 25 percent through the month of May,”
said Zak Anderson, executive director at Explore Whitefish.

Not all states are resigning themselves to the decline. New Hampshire, for example, is taking steps to re-engage Canadian travelers. In September, the state plans to send a trade delegation north to emphasize shared economic and tourism ties.

“We’re going to continue to focus on our relationships with Canada, which are quite important,”
said New Hampshire Gov. Kelly Ayotte.

For now, tourism officials on both sides of the border are watching closely to see whether the downturn deepens — or whether renewed outreach can reverse the trend before the next peak travel season.

Whether the slide in Canadian tourism proves to be a temporary dip or the start of a longer trend remains unclear. For U.S. states that rely heavily on cross-border visitors, the coming months will be a critical test. Much will depend on whether political rhetoric cools, travel confidence returns, and targeted outreach efforts succeed in reminding Canadians why the United States has long been a favored destination.

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Canada Pulls Plug on Digital Tax in Last-Minute Move to Woo US

In a sharp and sudden twist, Canada scrapped its Digital Services Tax just hours before its rollout, dodging what could have become a bruising trade battle with the United States. The tax, aimed at tech giants like Amazon and Google, sparked firm objections from Washington, with former President Trump calling it a “deal breaker.” As tensions cooled, trade talks are now set to resume. With global markets watching, this unexpected retreat may unlock a fragile window of economic cooperation—if both sides play their next moves with care.

STORY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Canada cancels Digital Services Tax just hours before enforcement deadline.

  • 3% tax would have applied to major U.S. tech firms like Google, Amazon, Meta, and Apple.

  • Trump threatened tariffs, calling the tax a “blatant attack” on American innovation.

  • U.S. Commerce Secretary welcomes Canada’s decision, markets rally in response.

  • Finance Minister Champagne to introduce repeal legislation in Parliament.

  • Canada emphasizes support for a multilateral digital taxation framework.

  • Canada remains a critical U.S. trade partner, with exports and imports exceeding $760 billion in 2023.

  • Biden administration also challenged the DST on USMCA compliance grounds.

In a last-minute reversal that could reshape the trajectory of North American trade relations, Canada has announced it is abandoning its planned Digital Services Tax (DST) — a move that comes mere hours before the levy was set to take effect on Monday. The sudden policy shift is widely seen as a strategic effort to salvage trade negotiations with the United States, which had reached a boiling point in recent days.

The decision was made public late Sunday night through a statement issued by Canada’s finance ministry. It noted that Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and U.S. President Donald Trump would now resume direct trade talks, with the goal of reaching a comprehensive agreement by July 21. The announcement came after mounting pressure from Washington, which viewed the DST as a direct threat to American tech giants and a possible violation of existing trade obligations under the North American trade framework.

The tax, originally announced in 2020, was designed to ensure that large multinational technology companies generating significant revenue from Canadian users contribute their fair share to the country’s economy. Specifically, it proposed a 3% tax on digital services revenues exceeding $20 million annually, retroactive to 2022. Had it been implemented, the measure would have impacted major U.S.-based firms such as Amazon, Meta, Alphabet’s Google, and Apple.

In recent weeks, the tension surrounding the DST had reached a critical level. Former U.S. President Donald Trump, who had already paused trade discussions on Friday in response to the proposed tax, did not hold back in his criticism.

“This was a blatant attack on American innovation,” Trump stated, accusing Canada of undermining the principles of free trade. “If this tax went forward, there would have been no deal — not now, not ever.”

Adding to the pressure, Trump declared on Sunday that unless Canada immediately reversed its stance, he would impose a new round of tariffs on Canadian exports within the week — a move that risked plunging bilateral relations into turmoil after a period of relative calm.

Responding to the change, U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick posted a reaction on X (formerly Twitter), expressing his satisfaction with Canada’s decision.

“Thank you Canada for removing your Digital Services Tax, which was intended to stifle American innovation and would have been a deal breaker for any trade deal with America,” Lutnick wrote.

The policy retreat was also framed by Canadian officials as a practical decision grounded in the broader goal of achieving an international solution. Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne confirmed that legislation would soon be introduced to repeal the Digital Services Tax Act entirely.

“The DST was originally introduced to address the fact that many large technology companies operating in Canada may not otherwise pay tax on revenues generated from Canadians,” Champagne said in the statement. “However, Canada’s preference has always been a multilateral agreement related to digital services taxation.”

Analysts suggest that while Canada’s DST had noble intentions rooted in tax equity and digital sovereignty, the political cost of maintaining the policy proved too high in the face of U.S. opposition. The United States, after all, remains Canada’s largest trading partner in goods and services — and the stakes of the ongoing negotiations could not be higher.

According to U.S. Census Bureau data, Canada bought $349.4 billion worth of American goods last year and exported $412.7 billion to the U.S., highlighting the deeply intertwined economic relationship between the two nations. Though Canada had managed to escape broad tariffs imposed earlier in April, it still faces steep 50% duties on its steel and aluminum exports to the American market — a point of contention that continues to simmer in the background.

The Biden administration, too, had previously flagged the DST as problematic, formally requesting trade dispute consultations earlier this year. U.S. officials argued that the tax was inconsistent with Canada’s obligations under the USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement), formerly known as NAFTA.

This latest development comes after Carney and Trump met at the G7 summit earlier in the month, where both leaders reportedly agreed to wrap up a new economic agreement within 30 days. Though the meeting had been seen as a signal of cooperation, tensions flared almost immediately afterward when details of Canada’s DST surfaced again.

Now, with the DST effectively shelved and legislation to repeal it on the horizon, diplomatic space has opened once more for constructive dialogue. Wall Street responded positively to the news, with futures reaching record highs Monday morning. The market reaction reflects investor optimism that the renewed talks between the U.S. and Canada could lead to a smoother economic path ahead.

While the final shape of the upcoming trade deal remains unclear, the removal of the DST marks a significant reset in U.S.-Canada relations — one that could determine the contours of North American commerce for years to come.

Canada’s decision to withdraw its Digital Services Tax marks a pivotal shift in its trade diplomacy with the United States. By stepping back from a measure that risked igniting tariff retaliation and diplomatic discord, Canada has chosen negotiation over confrontation. As both nations now return to the table with renewed urgency, the coming weeks will determine whether this tactical retreat fosters a stable trade framework—or merely postpones deeper conflict. For now, the halted tax offers a fragile but welcome pause, opening the door to economic compromise in a high-stakes cross-border relationship.

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